Paul Swartz is a senior economist and executive director at Boston Consulting Group’s Center for Macroeconomics.

He frequently speaks about global macroeconomic developments with leaders, investors, and policy makers. And has published in outlets including TIME, WSJ, Harvard Business Review, World Economic Forum, Fortune, CFR.org, and others.

Paul is co-author (with Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak) of Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk (Harvard Business Review Press, 2024). The book calls out pervasive doomsaying in public discourse about the economy and demonstrates how executives can navigate real, financial, and global risks more productively.

Paul previously worked at Sanford C. Bernstein where he covered the macroeconomy and markets for institutional investors. Earlier in his career, Paul worked within the Investment Strategy Group at Goldman Sachs, the Center for Geoeconomic Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, and the research department at Bridgewater Associates.

He serves as the vice-chair to the Dean’s Advisory Board (College of Art & Sciences) at Syracuse University.