Martin Reeves
Mihnea Moldoveanu
Adam Job
Beyond Tomorrow: Four Scenarios for the World of 2050
Long-term thinking can seem like a luxury. But understanding the possibilities can provide lessons for addressing today’s challenges.
When Everyone Uses AI, Companies Risk Losing Critical Skills
AI brings efficiencies, but overreliance can cause cognitive skills within organizations to erode. Leaders should act now to protect human capabilities.
How the Factory of the Future Is Reshaping the Economics of Manufacturing Competitiveness
AI has fused two questions that used to be separate: where to produce and how production is designed. Manufacturing leaders who treat them as one decision will stay competitive in the years ahead.
The Great Divide: How the US and China Are Splitting the AI World
Diverging strategies between the AI superpowers—the US and China—are creating two increasingly incompatible tech stacks. For companies, the window for mixing the two may end sooner than expected.
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The Irrational Decision with Ben Recht
"The optimal minimum-cost diet amounted to eating flour, navy beans, cabbage, and evaporated milk. You wouldn’t call that a diet. It’s so hard to write down all of the rules and all of the nuance that you really want to capture, but there’s still something attractive and enticing about trying."
Cash, Capital, and Culture: Mobilizing Household Savings to Close the European Investment Gap
An aversion to financial risk runs deep with European savers. Trustworthy financial education could change that and expand Europe's capital markets.
Quantum Is Getting Real. CEOs Need to Shape Where It Creates Value.
Quantum computing’s commercial arrival has accelerated, but ensuring the tech is actually useful requires enterprises to collaborate and steer innovation now.
AI Will Reshape More Jobs Than It Replaces
Task automation doesn’t equal job loss. Most roles will remain—but will change substantially.
Old Continent, New Growth: Pension Reform as an Economic Engine for Europe
Restructuring pensions to rely on funded schemes could ease fiscal burdens for European governments and for taxpayers.
Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms
How to assess true macroeconomic risk
How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk
Understanding macroeconomic risk—the potential for negative or positive change, both cyclical and structural—is essential to responding to threats with rational optimism.
What’s Wrong With Economics
The U.S. economy grew at a robust 2.8% in the second quarter, far faster than economists’ predictions of just 2%. The miss is reminiscent of a long losing streak for doomsaying about the U.S. economy.
How Lower Deficits Can Again Drive More Growth
Washington’s addiction to deficit spending is unlikely to change, no matter the electoral outcome in November. But in today's macroeconomic environment, fiscal consolidation can counterintuitively deliver more growth.
Business Ecosystems
What are business ecosystems, and how can organizations think about their own ecosystem design, governance, and strategy?
Winning the Ecosystem Game
Orchestrating companies collaboratively lead other companies in digital ecosystems but what does it take to lead orchestrating or participating companies? From our research on the factors which drive the strategic and operational success and failure of ecosystems, we propose the traits, mindsets, and behaviors required of ecosystem leaders.
Do You Need a Business Ecosystem?
The hype suggests that you do, but business ecosystems are not always the right model for organizing the creation of a product or service. Learn what they are, what sets them apart, and their benefits and drawbacks.
Setting the Rules of the Road
Good governance is essential to the success of both ecosystem orchestrators and their partners. It is essential to put the right rules in place to orchestrate a platform that creates value for all participants - and helps manage risk.
New Pathways to a Sustainable Future
In several recent publications, we’ve challenged ourselves to think differently about sustainability—to identify pathways that may contribute new vitality to the fight.
The Hidden Dynamics of the Energy Transition
The energy transition presents a massive and complex challenge, and it’s moving too slowly. To accelerate progress, businesses and governments should adopt a systems approach.
Short-Term Solutions for Bending the Ammonia Emissions Curve
Renewable ammonia has long-term potential, but the industry can’t wait. Ammonia producers and customers can take steps to become more sustainable, starting today.
Preparing for an Uncertain Future with Climate Scenarios
Stress-test your strategy and stretch your imagination.