BCG Henderson Institute

Some of the most spectacular stories of corporate growth revolve around big bets — long-term investments, bold pivots, and major acquisitions. Think of ASML, which pursued next-generation semiconductor manufacturing technologies for more than 30 years; Adobe, which abandoned perpetual licenses in favor of cloud subscriptions; or Disney, which acquired Pixar, Marvel, and Lucasfilm in quick succession.

The companies and leaders that pull off such moves are celebrated as heroes.

But not every company is comfortable making big bets — particularly in volatile times. Our recent research showed that when faced with high-uncertainty events, 90% of companies pulled back rather than doubling down. So, what about a growth strategy not for the heroes but for the rest of us? How can businesses reignite or sustain growth without betting big? It’s a particularly pressing question at a time when economic tailwinds that aid corporate growth are slowing.

To find answers, we evaluated more than 1,200 companies operating in industries structurally challenged on growth, taking a close look at players that grew without relying on high-risk moves. We found that de-risking growth does not rely on making smaller bets, or on making bold moves less frequently. Rather, it requires a different approach at every stage of the growth cycle — from identifying opportunities, to executing on them, to managing risk across a portfolio of initiatives.

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