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How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk

Understanding macroeconomic risk—the potential for negative or positive change, both cyclical and structural—is essential to responding to threats with rational optimism.

This research was published on June 11, 2024

Shocks and crises pose a real threat, but so does overreaction to them. And for every true crisis there are many false alarms. Understanding macroeconomic risk—the potential for negative or positive change, both cyclical and structural—is essential to responding to these threats with rational optimism.